Updated: 10/23/2022
I use this Watch List to determine the chances of the Region X teams when it comes to at-large bids. This year, I fear I have no need to do this. I don’t like our chances outside of the top teams in each conference. I decided to continue this effort as it does help me with my regional ranking predictions, which will be needed in a couple of weeks. This list will be fluid and updated whenever I think about it (usually Sundays or when “Ned” sends me updated data). The “(#)” are the number of sets in the match. Records are Division III only.
Teams removed since last update: ETBU
I just don’t see them being regionally ranked so I’ve stopped tracking them.
Teams added since last update: None
None
NOTE – In-Depth write-ups are below the table.
NOTE – Wins and losses are DIII ONLY. When considering NCAA selection, the primary criteria only considers DIII matches.
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School | Wins | Losses | Wins | Losses |
Cal Lutheran | 14 | 8 | CC(5), Endicott(3),La Verne(5) | Babson(5), NYU(3), UCSC(5), UTD(4), Tufts(5), WashU(4), CMS(3), CMS(3) |
CMS | 23 | 0 | UCSC(3), Babson(3), NYU(3), Millikin(3), JHU (3), Trinity(4), Emory(4), UCSC(3), Endicott(3), CC(4), La Verne(3), CLU(3), CLU(3) | |
Colorado College | 15 | 7 | S’Western(3) | Pomona(3), CLU(5), CMS(4), Austin(5), Trinity(3), TLU(4), Trinity(4) |
George Fox | 11 | 8 | UCSC(4), | S’Western(3), UTD(5), Augsburg(3), North Park(3), Puget Sound(5), Whitworth(4), PLU(4), Pacific(5) |
La Verne | 15 | 8 | TLU(5), S’Western(4) | Millikin(5), Trinity(3), Juniata(3), CLU(5), CMS(3), Pomona(5), Pomona(3), UCSC(5) |
Pomona-Pitzer | 14 | 8 | CC(3), La Verne(5), La Verne(3) | NYU(4), Babson(4), UCSC(4), Chapman(4), CLU(3), CMS(3), CLU(5), CMS(4) |
Southwestern | 14 | 9 | George Fox(3), Augsburg(3), TLU(5), TLU(3) | UTD(4), Wesleyan(4), Aurora(5), Juniata(5), La Verne(4), Scranton(5), Trinity(4), CC(3), St Thomas(4) |
Texas Lutheran | 19 | 6 | Transy(5), CC(4) | Saint Ben(5), Whitworth(5), La Verne(5), S’Western(5), Trinity(3), S’Western(3) |
Trinity | 21 | 3 | Berry(3), Transy(3), UWEC(3), JHU(5), Juniata(4), CC(3), S’Western(4), TLU(3), Susquehanna(3), CC(4) | Emory(4), CMS(4), UCSC(4) |
UC Santa Cruz | 17 | 4 | CLU(5), Pomona(4), CNU(3), Salisbury(3), Mary Washington(4), Trinity(4), Susquehanna(4) | CMS(3), George Fox(4), CMS(3), Whittier(4), |
UT Dallas | 15 | 5 | George Fox(5), S’Western(4), CLU(4), ETBU(4), ETBU(4) | Augsburg(4), WashU(4), Tufts(3), Concordia(5), McMurry(4) |
Whitworth | 14 | 6 | Aurora(4), Chicago(5), Chicago(4), TLU(5), George Fox(4) | St Olaf(5), Transy(4), Puget Sound(3), Linfield(4), PLU(5), Willamette(5) |
In-Depth Looks
Records are through Sunday (10/23/22). I’m using the SOS and Ranked Record from the regional rankings as of 10/20/22. Ranked wins are updated through 10/23/22.
Remember that the selection criteria is Record (wins/losses), SOS, Ranked Wins, Common Opponents and Head-To-Head Results.
Cal Lutheran (14-8 0.636, 0.637 SOS, 4-8 Ranked Wins)
They keep getting the wins they need to stay ranked. I still don’t think they get an at-large.
Claremont-Mudd-Scripps (23-0 1.000, 0.635, 13-0)
No issues here.
Colorado College (15-7 0.682, 0.555, 0-5)
They needed that Trinity win this weekend. Still no Ranked Wins.
George Fox (11-8 0.579, 0.552, 1-2)
Now in a four-way tie for the NWC lead. I thought about removing but they are winning.
La Verne (15-8 0.652, 0.591, 0-7)
They were ranked in the first official list but those Ranked Results are going to hurt this week.
Pomona-Pitzer (14-8 0.636, 0.569, 2-7)
Couldn’t get a win against CLU or CMS. They were regionally ranked and it will be interesting to see if those losses change that.
Southwestern (14-9 0.609, 0.574, 1-6)
Good win against TLU but dropped a match to St Thomas. Just no consistency here.
Texas Lutheran (19-6 0.760, 0.535, 2-3)
Took a loss to Southwestern. Poor SOS hurts their regional ranking chances but the door has been open by other teams.
Trinity (21-3 0.875, 0.646, 7-3)
Still no issues with this team.
UC Santa Cruz (17-4 0.810, 0.594, 7-2)
They look good on paper right now. Their next DIII matches will be the C2C Tournament. If they get to the finals, they should have a chance to get in as an at-large if they don’t win it.
UT-Dallas (15-5 0.750, 0.592, 1-3)
They have the hosting gig for the ASC Tournament locked up. I think they need to win it to get into the big tournament.
Whitworth (14-6 0.700, 0.560, 2-2)
They had this conference locked up but they are not the same as they were last season or even the first two weeks. I was kind of surprised they were not regionally ranked last week. It will be interesting to see if that changes.